Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Wolves | Mexico City Capitanes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | +2.2 | ✗ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mexico City Capitanes -4 (122-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Keels * | 51 | 12-25 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 15 | - |
| El Ellis * | 51 | 7-18 | 4-8 | 7-10 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 27 | - |
| Jaylen Clark * | 42 | 4-15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Jesse Edwards * | 34 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Nojel Eastern * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Martez Brown | 19 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Jaedon LeDee | 17 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Kok Yat | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Walter Ellis | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| William Baker | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Mexico City Capitanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Toscano-Anderson * | 46 | 8-16 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Davon Reed * | 41 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Ivan Gandia-Rosa * | 36 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Dink Pate * | 25 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Greg Brown III * | 13 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Felipe Haase | 36 | 8-14 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Kyle Rose | 26 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Trey Burke | 19 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Luis Rodriguez | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Loudon Love | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter