Model Predictions
| Model | Osceola Magic | Raptors 905 | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Raptors 905 +9 (131-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Osceola Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Thompson * | 36 | 7-16 | 4-10 | 8-8 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 33 | - |
| Jalen Slawson * | 35 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Mac McClung * | 32 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 3 | - |
| Robert Baker * | 29 | 7-15 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Jarrett Culver * | 27 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Alex Morales | 28 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Javonte Smart | 28 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Myron Gardner | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Chris Walker | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Patrick Gardner | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Raptors 905
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Lawson * | 37 | 6-15 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Jared Rhoden * | 35 | 6-16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Eugene Omoruyi * | 28 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Frank Kaminsky * | 27 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Evan Gilyard * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Charlie Brown Jr. | 25 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Kennedy Chandler | 21 | 7-9 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Ulrich Chomche | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Quincy Guerrier | 19 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
* = starter