Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Spurs | Stockton Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.5% | 42.5% | -1.7 | ✗ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Stockton Kings +2 (109-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Austin Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Miller * | 30 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| David Duke Jr. * | 29 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Harrison Ingram * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Riley Minix * | 22 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Rode * | 19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Sidy Cissoko | 29 | 12-17 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 15 | - |
| Osayi Osifo | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jameer Nelson Jr. | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Quinton Rose | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Luke Avdalovic | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Stockton Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Jones * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Terry Taylor * | 33 | 9-17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Skal Labissiere * | 33 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Devin Carter * | 32 | 11-18 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 22 | - |
| Isaiah Crawford * | 32 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Jon Elmore | 21 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dexter Dennis | 20 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Brian Bowen II | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Gabe Levin | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter