Model Predictions
| Model | Wisconsin Herd | Greensboro Swarm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.0% | 90.0% | +12.1 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Greensboro Swarm +6 (111-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wisconsin Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Moore * | 39 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Henry Ellenson * | 38 | 9-17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Stephen Thompson * | 34 | 7-15 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Ibou Badji * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Chris Livingston * | 24 | 8-14 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Jack Gohlke | 30 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Sahvir Wheeler | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Smith | 20 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Greensboro Swarm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Smith Jr. * | 33 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 9 | - |
| KJ Simpson * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Reggie Perry * | 29 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Marcus Garrett * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Caleb McConnell * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jaylen Sims | 25 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson | 25 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Joel Soriano | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| MJ Walker | 12 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Terrell Brown Jr. | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter