Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Wolves | Mexico City Capitanes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | +2.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mexico City Capitanes +11 (105-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Keels * | 36 | 10-20 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Jaylen Clark * | 35 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Nojel Eastern * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Chasson Randle * | 24 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Jesse Edwards * | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| El Ellis | 31 | 10-19 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Martez Brown | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Walter Ellis | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| William Baker | 12 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jaedon LeDee | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Kok Yat | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sy Chatman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mexico City Capitanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Gandia-Rosa * | 41 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Davon Reed * | 38 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 28 | - |
| Dink Pate * | 33 | 5-16 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Greg Brown III * | 24 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Felipe Haase | 24 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Rose | 18 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Loudon Love | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Luis Rodriguez | 13 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
* = starter