Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Cruz Warriors | Salt Lake City Stars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.1% | 9.9% | -12.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Salt Lake City Stars -18 (102-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Cruz Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Williams * | 40 | 9-17 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Aaron Craft * | 36 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Joe Alexander * | 33 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - |
| James Michael McAdoo * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Mychel Thompson * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Taylor Griffin | 22 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Sean Kilpatrick | 18 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Dominique Sutton | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Milos Milisavljevic | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Maurice Baker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Salt Lake City Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Murphy * | 39 | 11-18 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 14 | - |
| Joel Wright * | 39 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 24 | - |
| Tre Bussey * | 31 | 1-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Shane Gibson * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Reggie Hearn * | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jerrelle Benimon | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Lewis Jackson | 23 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ta'Quan Zimmerman | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tyrrel Tate | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Amadou Mbodji | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter