Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Cruz Warriors | Stockton Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | +0.5 | ✓ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stockton Kings +18 (115-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Cruz Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Jones * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Dominic McGuire * | 32 | 6-17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Mychel Thompson * | 30 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Seth Curry * | 30 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Ognjen Kuzmic * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| William Buford | 22 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Kiwi Gardner | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Joe Alexander | 16 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Lance Goulbourne | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Maurice Baker | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Kotzur | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Stockton Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeQuan Jones * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Sundiata Gaines * | 27 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Mo Charlo * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Mickell Gladness * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Trent Lockett * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| K.C. Rivers | 27 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Bryan Davis | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Tyrell Biggs | 21 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Walker Russell | 20 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ra'shad James | 16 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
* = starter