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2013-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Austin Spurs South Bay Lakers Spread Result
Elo 15.8% 84.2% -
Bradley-Terry 18.8% 81.2% -
Margin 20.4% 79.6% +7.5 (16.5 off)
Pythagorean 32.9% 67.1% -

Actual: South Bay Lakers +24 (95-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tre Kelley * 33 4-13 1-2 2-2 1 6 0 0 4 11 1 -
Jamarr Sanders * 31 2-11 0-3 1-2 3 2 0 0 4 5 -5 -
Chris Roberts * 27 5-11 0-2 0-0 1 4 0 1 1 10 4 -
Rick Jackson * 23 5-13 0-0 1-2 14 1 3 3 2 11 17 -
Tyler Wilkerson 23 5-9 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 10 6 -
Patrick Sullivan 19 3-6 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 1 3 8 9 -
Ryan Ayers 19 3-8 3-6 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 9 9 -
Henry Walker 17 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 3 2 -
Dontell Jefferson 14 1-5 0-0 2-4 3 2 0 0 3 4 1 -

South Bay Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elijah Millsap * 36 7-14 0-2 4-4 6 2 4 1 2 18 15 -
Courtney Fortson * 36 4-14 2-4 4-7 3 7 1 1 3 14 9 -
Robert Sacre * 35 2-8 0-0 2-2 10 0 0 3 0 6 11 -
Darius Morris * 35 8-18 1-5 4-8 6 2 1 0 1 21 11 -
Gary Flowers * 33 5-17 0-4 1-2 7 3 1 1 1 11 5 -
Lazar Hayward 26 7-11 0-2 6-6 6 0 2 0 2 20 15 -
Morris Almond 16 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -
Jerome Jordan 12 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Mike Taylor 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 2 0 1 1 2 -

* = starter