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2012-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Austin Spurs South Bay Lakers Spread Result
Elo 39.7% 60.3% -
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% -
Margin 57.2% 42.8% -1.6 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% -

Actual: South Bay Lakers +4 (102-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Dentmon * 37 4-11 2-6 12-13 3 5 2 0 3 22 18 -
Julian Sensley * 36 3-11 2-5 2-2 6 1 1 0 1 10 6 -
Da'Sean Butler * 33 3-10 2-4 2-2 1 4 1 0 0 10 6 -
Leo Lyons * 31 8-16 0-2 3-4 16 0 2 0 2 19 19 -
Jamarr Sanders * 28 4-8 2-4 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 10 7 -
Carldell Johnson 30 7-15 2-4 2-2 5 3 1 0 1 18 11 -
Luke Bonner 16 1-5 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
Terrance Woodbury 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 1 -
Ronald Allen 10 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 4 5 -

South Bay Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gerald Green * 41 11-23 6-13 2-2 7 4 1 0 1 30 18 -
Malcolm Thomas * 30 5-10 0-0 3-3 11 2 0 0 2 13 14 -
Orien Greene * 29 3-7 0-3 6-6 5 5 0 0 0 12 15 -
Mardy Collins * 19 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
Zach Andrews * 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 1 4 8 -
Courtney Fortson 36 5-15 1-5 3-3 4 5 1 0 3 14 6 -
Devin Ebanks 29 7-15 1-1 0-1 5 2 2 0 4 15 5 -
Otis George 22 3-6 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 1 7 7 -
Elijah Millsap 12 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -2 -

* = starter