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2012-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Austin Spurs South Bay Lakers Spread Result
Elo 39.7% 60.3% -
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% -
Margin 57.2% 42.8% -1.6 (16.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% -

Actual: South Bay Lakers +15 (109-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Dentmon * 36 8-17 2-8 7-7 1 3 1 0 5 25 8 -
Eric Dawson * 33 4-7 0-0 1-1 8 4 1 3 1 9 17 -
Da'Sean Butler * 32 2-7 1-4 5-5 4 2 2 0 1 10 10 -
Jamarr Sanders * 30 2-6 1-2 1-2 4 5 1 1 2 6 9 -
Leo Lyons * 25 8-16 1-2 1-2 10 0 1 0 2 18 11 -
Julian Sensley 25 3-6 2-5 2-4 2 2 1 0 1 10 8 -
Terrance Woodbury 24 3-13 0-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 6 -4 -
Carldell Johnson 24 3-5 2-3 0-0 0 7 2 0 5 8 7 -
Luke Bonner 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

South Bay Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gerald Green * 30 5-13 0-3 4-4 1 1 0 1 5 14 -1 -
Malcolm Thomas * 29 7-9 0-0 3-6 10 1 1 5 0 17 25 -
Orien Greene * 20 2-6 1-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 5 6 -
Mardy Collins * 20 3-5 0-0 2-4 4 3 0 0 1 8 9 -
Zach Andrews * 14 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 0 2 3 5 -
Devin Ebanks 33 6-11 1-3 4-4 4 0 2 0 4 17 8 -
Courtney Fortson 27 6-6 0-0 5-8 8 7 3 0 2 17 27 -
Elijah Millsap 23 5-9 0-3 6-9 3 2 5 0 1 16 16 -
Otis George 18 3-3 0-0 1-2 4 1 2 0 1 7 10 -
Brandon Costner 15 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 1 -
Rafer Alston 5 0-1 0-1 0-2 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter