Model Predictions
| Model | South Bay Lakers | Stockton Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.0% | 53.0% | +0.7 | ✗ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stockton Kings -4 (116-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Bay Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Millsap * | 33 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Mardy Collins * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 27 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Costner * | 21 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Zach Andrews * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Malcolm Thomas | 37 | 12-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 29 | - |
| Orien Greene | 31 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Courtney Fortson | 25 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 4-7 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Rafer Alston | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Otis George | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Stockton Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Emmett * | 40 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 8-9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Blake Ahearn * | 39 | 12-21 | 5-10 | 8-8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 37 | 24 | - |
| Bobby Simmons * | 30 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Zach Graham * | 29 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Chris Ayer * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Terrance Thomas | 36 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Will Blalock | 27 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Eric Devendorf | 16 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
* = starter