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2012-01-06

Model Predictions

Model South Bay Lakers Stockton Kings Spread Result
Elo 87.3% 12.7% -
Bradley-Terry 53.7% 46.3% -
Margin 47.0% 53.0% +0.7 (26.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% -

Actual: Stockton Kings -26 (78-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Bay Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elijah Millsap * 28 9-17 1-3 4-5 7 3 2 0 2 23 16 -
Courtney Fortson * 28 2-8 0-1 1-2 3 3 3 0 1 5 5 -
Zach Andrews * 25 3-6 0-0 3-4 3 0 4 0 0 9 10 -
Orien Greene * 23 6-8 1-3 0-1 4 4 4 1 2 13 16 -
Brandon Costner * 18 5-9 1-2 1-1 5 2 0 0 1 12 9 -
Malcolm Thomas 28 8-9 0-0 0-0 9 1 2 1 2 16 18 -
Mardy Collins 25 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 6 1 0 1 4 10 -
Gerald Green 25 8-18 1-6 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 17 5 -
Otis George 15 1-2 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 1 3 5 6 -

Stockton Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Blake Ahearn * 33 8-20 3-9 3-3 2 4 0 0 4 22 4 -
Terrance Thomas * 26 4-7 2-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 7 10 1 -
Mo Charlo * 24 1-4 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 1 1 4 8 -
Tyler Honeycutt * 20 1-5 0-1 2-6 2 2 1 0 3 4 1 -
Chris Ayer * 8 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 4 2 -
Hassan Whiteside 29 5-10 0-0 0-3 9 0 2 3 2 10 12 -
Bobby Simmons 27 1-5 1-1 0-0 8 2 1 0 3 3 6 -
Zach Graham 24 5-12 1-2 2-3 3 1 0 0 0 13 5 -
Will Blalock 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 3 0 5 -
Adrian Oliver 19 3-8 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 8 1 -
Chris Davis 5 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter