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2011-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Stockton Kings South Bay Lakers Spread Result
Elo 6.8% 93.2% -
Bradley-Terry 32.7% 67.3% -
Margin 31.6% 68.4% +4.2 (29.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -

Actual: South Bay Lakers -25 (74-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stockton Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Blake Ahearn * 42 5-15 1-5 8-9 4 5 2 0 7 19 8 -
Taj McCullough * 30 6-8 0-1 3-12 4 1 1 0 6 15 7 -
Doug Thomas * 26 5-6 0-0 2-3 4 1 1 0 3 12 9 -
Nick Fazekas * 24 4-4 0-0 3-3 6 2 1 0 2 11 14 -
Cedric Bozeman * 20 2-5 0-2 2-2 4 6 0 0 3 6 8 -
Zach Graham 39 8-13 2-6 4-6 9 0 2 2 2 22 20 -
Donald Sims 22 1-5 1-3 4-4 1 4 2 0 1 7 8 -
Chris Matthews 18 2-8 1-6 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 5 2 -
Chris Ayer 15 0-1 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 1 1 2 8 -

South Bay Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Costner * 30 4-12 2-8 1-5 4 3 1 0 3 11 4 -
Jamaal Tinsley * 30 3-12 0-3 0-0 4 6 3 0 2 6 5 -
Zach Andrews * 27 4-4 0-0 2-4 5 2 2 1 2 10 14 -
Jordan Brady * 16 2-5 0-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 5 1 -
Courtney Fortson 37 3-8 1-4 1-4 6 4 5 1 2 8 14 -
Elijah Millsap 36 8-16 1-5 6-7 4 3 3 0 4 23 13 -
Otis George 10 3-4 0-0 0-1 3 2 0 1 0 6 8 -
Eniel Polynice 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Terrence Roberts 2 2-2 0-0 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
Anthony Coleman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter