Model Predictions
| Model | Stockton Kings | South Bay Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Bay Lakers +6 (109-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stockton Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Graham * | 41 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Blake Ahearn * | 40 | 7-16 | 2-8 | 8-8 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Cedric Bozeman * | 37 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 8-10 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Doug Thomas * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Nick Fazekas * | 26 | 10-14 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Chris Matthews | 20 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Donald Sims | 19 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Chris Ayer | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Reuben Clayton | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
South Bay Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Andrews * | 33 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Brady * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Costner * | 28 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 7-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Courtney Fortson | 31 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 4-7 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 26 | - |
| Elijah Millsap | 29 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 8-14 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Terrence Roberts | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Otis George | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Eniel Polynice | 4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter