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2009-04-09

Model Predictions

Model Stockton Kings South Bay Lakers Spread Result
Elo 56.6% 43.4% -
Bradley-Terry 50.7% 49.3% -
Margin 33.9% 66.1% +3.7 (18.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -

Actual: South Bay Lakers +22 (114-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stockton Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Garry Hill-Thomas * 41 5-6 0-0 5-6 5 4 4 0 2 15 20 -
David Noel * 39 3-10 2-6 2-4 10 5 2 0 5 10 12 -
Richie Frahm * 37 7-14 4-10 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 18 9 -
Russell Robinson * 34 7-17 2-6 0-2 9 7 0 0 4 16 11 -
Rod Benson * 24 4-9 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 3 1 11 7 -
Cezary Trybanski 23 2-5 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 6 0 4 13 -
Daryl Dorsey 19 7-15 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 16 4 -
Lamar Butler 13 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 -2 -
Brian Harper 5 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -2 -

South Bay Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Forehan-Kelly * 40 11-18 4-7 0-0 9 5 2 0 1 26 23 -
Dwayne Mitchell * 38 6-13 0-2 2-2 5 5 3 0 0 14 14 -
Brandon Heath * 31 8-12 4-6 0-0 5 7 1 0 3 20 18 -
Charlie Parker * 30 9-14 1-2 1-6 5 2 2 1 0 20 16 -
Earl Barron * 24 5-14 0-0 1-2 10 2 0 0 3 11 6 -
Mickael Gelabale 26 5-12 1-2 2-2 4 1 0 1 1 13 6 -
Darren Cooper 24 3-7 0-1 0-0 1 5 2 0 1 6 6 -
Duane Erwin 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 1 2 0 4 -
Gabriel Hughes 11 1-7 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 1 0 4 6 -

* = starter