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2009-04-07

Model Predictions

Model Stockton Kings Austin Spurs Spread Result
Elo 46.6% 53.4% -
Bradley-Terry 33.6% 66.4% -
Margin 19.0% 81.0% +8.0 (14.0 off)
Pythagorean 37.8% 62.2% -

Actual: Austin Spurs -6 (118-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stockton Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
David Noel * 43 9-15 3-6 2-2 4 2 2 0 1 23 15 -
Richie Frahm * 41 9-17 6-9 2-2 5 4 1 2 2 26 19 -
Rod Benson * 33 11-16 0-0 5-8 8 0 1 1 1 27 20 -
Russell Robinson * 25 1-10 1-4 2-4 4 7 4 1 3 5 8 -
Alton Ford * 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Garry Hill-Thomas 36 6-10 0-0 4-6 8 4 1 1 0 16 20 -
Daryl Dorsey 22 5-9 0-1 3-4 2 5 1 0 3 13 9 -
Cezary Trybanski 20 4-6 0-0 4-4 6 0 1 5 2 12 16 -
Lamar Butler 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -

Austin Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Hairston * 46 11-21 0-1 9-12 7 4 1 2 3 31 21 -
Stanley Burrell * 41 8-11 0-0 2-2 5 2 2 1 3 18 14 -
DeMarcus Nelson * 40 11-17 2-2 1-2 2 6 3 0 6 25 13 -
Dwayne Jones * 39 6-14 0-0 7-10 17 2 0 1 1 19 24 -
Eric Dawson * 39 9-20 0-0 0-1 12 1 2 0 3 18 10 -
Ryan Bright 15 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 5 5 -
Carldell Johnson 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 0 -
Jamaal Thomas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter