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2009-04-04

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Wolves Austin Spurs Spread Result
Elo 22.9% 77.1% -
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% -
Margin 26.8% 73.2% +5.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% -

Actual: Austin Spurs +17 (129-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Curtis Stinson * 46 12-24 0-1 3-3 11 10 1 0 2 27 23 -
Demetris Nichols * 30 5-14 0-3 4-4 4 1 2 1 2 14 6 -
Othyus Jeffers * 29 7-17 0-1 5-6 5 1 4 0 1 19 11 -
JamesOn Curry * 25 3-10 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 8 1 -
John Edwards * 17 1-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
Mark Tyndale 30 6-13 0-0 5-5 3 2 0 0 2 17 7 -
Denham Brown 23 6-10 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 12 3 -
Shawn Hawkins 19 4-7 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 9 8 -
Aristide Sawadogo 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 2 6 -
Marvin Phillips 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Austin Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Hairston * 46 7-14 0-1 7-8 4 4 0 2 0 21 17 -
Marcus Williams * 45 11-19 2-3 5-5 14 13 0 1 6 29 32 -
DeMarcus Nelson * 44 11-14 3-5 4-5 5 4 0 0 0 29 24 -
Dwayne Jones * 30 6-11 0-0 2-6 9 0 0 1 3 14 10 -
Eric Dawson * 29 4-5 0-0 5-6 4 8 0 2 0 13 22 -
Ryan Bright 26 7-13 2-4 0-0 7 1 3 3 2 16 15 -
Carldell Johnson 16 3-6 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 7 4 -

* = starter