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2009-04-01

Model Predictions

Model Salt Lake City Stars Santa Cruz Warriors Spread Result
Elo 48.3% 51.7% -
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% -
Margin 39.8% 60.2% +2.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -

Actual: Santa Cruz Warriors +8 (119-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Salt Lake City Stars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Burleson * 32 5-13 4-9 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 14 4 -
Lance Allred * 31 12-16 0-0 1-2 7 4 2 1 1 25 22 -
Jason Ellis * 26 2-4 0-0 3-3 5 1 1 0 2 7 8 -
Mohammed Abukar * 19 3-9 0-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
Brent Petway * 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 4 5 -
Jamaal Tatum 37 6-15 1-4 5-6 3 9 2 0 0 18 17 -
Roberto Bergersen 27 4-7 2-4 1-2 3 1 1 0 2 11 7 -
Lanny Smith 25 3-6 1-3 4-4 1 5 0 0 3 11 8 -
Mildon Ambres 21 6-11 0-1 3-4 9 0 0 0 1 15 12 -

Santa Cruz Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maurice Baker * 45 5-11 0-0 8-9 9 3 2 0 1 18 20 -
Blake Ahearn * 42 7-17 3-6 10-10 3 4 1 0 1 27 17 -
Richard Hendrix * 38 10-16 3-4 4-6 12 2 2 2 3 27 26 -
David Monds * 35 8-18 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 1 2 16 9 -
Renaldo Major * 30 4-8 0-1 8-8 6 6 2 1 4 16 19 -
David Bell 27 3-7 3-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 9 5 -
Jesse Smith 19 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 0 6 8 -

* = starter