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2009-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Austin Spurs Santa Cruz Warriors Spread Result
Elo 46.8% 53.2% -
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% -
Margin 40.8% 59.2% +2.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -

Actual: Santa Cruz Warriors +8 (110-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Hairston * 45 6-12 1-4 4-4 10 5 4 1 5 17 20 -
Marcus Williams * 44 11-20 3-4 4-4 6 4 0 0 4 29 15 -
Dwayne Jones * 40 5-8 0-0 6-8 10 1 0 1 5 16 15 -
Ryan Bright * 19 2-2 2-2 0-2 4 2 1 0 0 6 11 -
Carldell Johnson * 13 1-3 0-2 1-2 1 2 1 0 1 3 3 -
DeMarcus Nelson 35 9-16 0-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 20 8 -
Stanley Burrell 19 4-5 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
Ezra Williams 18 1-8 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 -4 -
Serge Angounou 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Santa Cruz Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Blake Ahearn * 38 6-15 3-6 0-1 3 3 0 0 2 15 4 -
Maurice Baker * 35 3-11 0-1 0-0 3 7 2 0 0 6 7 -
David Monds * 28 3-6 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 3 7 1 -
Renaldo Major * 26 7-12 0-0 1-3 6 2 1 2 2 15 12 -
Richard Hendrix * 20 5-8 0-1 4-6 7 1 1 1 3 14 13 -
David Bell 35 7-11 5-8 3-4 4 5 2 0 1 22 21 -
Romel Beck 32 6-12 2-4 3-4 2 5 1 0 2 17 11 -
Jesse Smith 21 6-9 0-0 2-2 9 2 1 0 0 14 17 -
Carlos English 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter