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2009-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Stockton Kings Salt Lake City Stars Spread Result
Elo 45.1% 54.9% -
Bradley-Terry 30.6% 69.4% -
Margin 19.7% 80.3% +7.7 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 37.5% 62.5% -

Actual: Salt Lake City Stars -4 (115-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stockton Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
David Noel * 45 11-18 4-5 2-4 5 4 1 0 2 28 18 -
Richie Frahm * 42 9-14 6-9 2-2 5 5 1 0 2 26 21 -
Alton Ford * 34 4-9 0-0 5-7 9 3 1 1 4 13 14 -
Russell Robinson * 32 7-14 0-3 11-11 4 4 1 1 2 25 19 -
Rod Benson * 28 5-10 0-0 1-3 10 2 2 1 2 11 14 -
Garry Hill-Thomas 26 3-6 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 8 7 -
Daryl Dorsey 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 4 5 -
Cezary Trybanski 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Lamar Butler 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Salt Lake City Stars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lanny Smith * 36 3-7 2-3 3-3 3 9 2 0 4 11 14 -
Kevin Burleson * 28 6-13 4-10 1-1 3 4 0 0 2 17 9 -
Nathan Jawai * 27 5-8 0-0 5-5 10 0 0 0 1 15 16 -
Lance Allred * 24 12-18 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 24 13 -
Mildon Ambres * 16 0-7 0-2 0-0 1 4 0 1 1 0 -2 -
Jason Ellis 36 7-16 0-0 1-2 15 0 2 1 1 15 16 -
Mohammed Abukar 24 8-14 1-4 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 19 10 -
Jamaal Tatum 24 4-14 1-4 2-4 3 5 1 0 0 11 6 -
Roberto Bergersen 20 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 3 2 -

* = starter