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2009-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Austin Spurs Birmingham Squadron Spread Result
Elo 44.6% 55.4% -
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% -
Margin 47.1% 52.9% +0.6 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% -

Actual: Birmingham Squadron +8 (114-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Williams * 46 10-22 1-3 5-5 5 5 0 0 6 26 8 -
DeMarcus Nelson * 43 10-20 1-4 6-6 7 3 2 2 3 27 18 -
Dwayne Jones * 39 6-10 0-0 3-3 17 1 1 1 2 15 23 -
Carldell Johnson * 26 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 3 3 -
Ezra Williams * 25 3-7 3-5 3-4 1 1 2 0 1 12 8 -
DerMarr Johnson 28 4-8 1-3 2-2 4 2 1 0 3 11 7 -
Stanley Burrell 23 5-6 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 12 8 -
Serge Angounou 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Birmingham Squadron

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maureece Rice * 44 10-16 2-2 4-4 8 7 1 0 2 26 24 -
Jackie Manuel * 41 4-11 0-0 2-2 6 0 2 1 0 10 8 -
Erik Daniels * 39 9-16 2-3 2-2 7 12 0 1 1 22 25 -
Ivan Harris * 36 6-13 0-1 1-1 4 0 1 2 1 13 6 -
Quincy Douby * 34 7-13 1-3 3-3 4 3 2 2 2 18 14 -
Darnell Jackson 25 5-9 0-0 5-6 6 0 1 0 3 15 10 -
Tony Bethel 18 4-6 0-0 2-2 1 0 2 0 0 10 7 -

* = starter