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2009-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Wolves Santa Cruz Warriors Spread Result
Elo 27.0% 73.0% -
Bradley-Terry 47.7% 52.3% -
Margin 27.9% 72.1% +5.2 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% -

Actual: Santa Cruz Warriors +7 (123-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Curtis Stinson * 49 10-18 0-2 1-2 14 8 3 0 2 21 26 -
Courtney Sims * 48 11-16 0-0 3-5 8 4 2 1 3 25 21 -
Othyus Jeffers * 47 9-20 0-1 6-7 7 5 3 1 1 24 19 -
JamesOn Curry * 40 5-13 2-4 6-6 2 2 1 0 1 18 9 -
Patrick Sanders * 20 3-8 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 7 4 -
Denham Brown 31 8-15 0-1 4-5 3 1 1 0 3 20 7 -
Mark Tyndale 20 0-3 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 0 0 1 4 -
Steve Newman 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -

Santa Cruz Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maurice Baker * 49 12-21 1-3 5-6 13 7 1 0 6 30 24 -
Renaldo Major * 48 10-17 0-1 4-6 6 6 1 1 2 24 19 -
Will Frisby * 45 9-14 0-1 7-10 14 1 0 1 1 25 26 -
Blake Ahearn * 39 5-10 2-4 7-7 2 5 1 0 3 19 14 -
Hamed Haddadi * 31 3-7 0-0 1-2 11 3 0 2 1 7 15 -
David Bell 22 1-7 1-7 3-4 0 3 0 0 0 6 2 -
Romel Beck 18 4-7 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 3 11 3 -
Jesse Smith 9 0-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 1 0 -

* = starter