Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Spurs | Stockton Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.3% | 35.7% | -3.2 | ✗ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Stockton Kings +16 (100-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Austin Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Williams * | 40 | 10-20 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Carldell Johnson * | 38 | 6-17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Dwayne Jones * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Ezra Williams * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Eric Dawson * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Stanley Burrell | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jamaal Thomas | 12 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| DerMarr Johnson | 9 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Ryan Bright | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Serge Angounou | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Stockton Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Frahm * | 36 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Patrick Ewing * | 33 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 19 | - |
| David Noel * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Russell Robinson * | 27 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Alton Ford * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Daryl Dorsey | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Rod Benson | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Garry Hill-Thomas | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter