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2009-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Austin Spurs Cleveland Charge Spread Result
Elo 61.2% 38.8% -
Bradley-Terry 53.8% 46.2% -
Margin 59.7% 40.3% -2.2 (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% -

Actual: Cleveland Charge +8 (102-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Williams * 45 7-23 0-2 5-5 6 8 2 0 5 19 7 -
Carldell Johnson * 43 1-7 0-3 0-0 5 11 1 0 1 2 11 -
Eric Dawson * 38 17-21 0-0 5-6 9 2 3 1 5 39 28 -
Dwayne Jones * 37 7-12 0-0 1-4 17 1 0 0 3 15 18 -
Ezra Williams * 31 5-13 2-5 0-0 10 1 0 0 0 12 10 -
DerMarr Johnson 20 2-10 0-6 1-3 1 1 0 0 2 5 -5 -
Ryan Bright 11 1-2 0-0 0-2 1 4 0 1 0 2 6 -
Stanley Burrell 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Serge Angounou 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Cleveland Charge

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keith McLeod * 44 4-13 1-6 5-5 4 10 3 0 2 14 16 -
Jasper Johnson * 43 6-16 0-1 7-7 14 4 3 1 2 19 23 -
Will Conroy * 41 13-20 3-4 8-11 3 4 0 0 4 37 20 -
Brad Stricker * 24 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 4 2 2 5 -
Mark Walters * 20 3-7 1-3 0-0 1 1 2 1 0 7 5 -
Antoine Agudio 23 2-7 1-3 2-2 3 1 3 0 3 7 4 -
Antonio Meeking 19 7-11 0-1 0-4 7 1 0 0 3 14 8 -
Steve Allen 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 0 4 -
James Wright 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 3 -

* = starter