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2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Austin Spurs Cleveland Charge Spread Result
Elo 61.2% 38.8% -
Bradley-Terry 53.8% 46.2% -
Margin 59.7% 40.3% -2.2 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% -

Actual: Cleveland Charge -4 (121-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Hairston * 46 8-18 1-3 8-8 4 3 2 2 3 25 15 -
Marcus Williams * 45 10-21 2-3 12-16 12 6 0 1 1 34 31 -
Carldell Johnson * 41 4-6 0-0 0-1 1 10 2 0 1 8 14 -
Charles Gaines * 41 12-19 0-0 1-4 11 2 1 1 2 25 19 -
Serge Angounou * 18 1-7 0-3 3-4 6 2 1 0 1 5 6 -
Eric Dawson 33 7-11 0-0 1-4 8 2 4 1 0 15 19 -
Ezra Williams 25 4-9 3-6 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 11 7 -
Nate Brown 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 4 2 0 1 2 5 -
Brian Morrison 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cleveland Charge

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keith McLeod * 52 4-15 1-3 4-5 5 5 1 0 1 13 8 -
Will Conroy * 49 11-25 2-7 8-14 5 6 1 0 3 32 16 -
David Noel * 48 6-13 1-4 3-3 2 11 1 1 3 16 15 -
David Monds * 40 7-11 0-0 3-3 12 0 0 1 3 17 16 -
Jasper Johnson * 36 11-18 0-0 8-9 13 1 1 2 3 30 26 -
Toree Morris 15 0-1 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 2 0 3 8 -
Fred Gibson 15 3-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 6 -
Steve Allen 5 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
Mark Walters 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter