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2009-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Birmingham Squadron Santa Cruz Warriors Spread Result
Elo 43.7% 56.3% -
Bradley-Terry 49.6% 50.4% -
Margin 33.5% 66.5% +3.8 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% -

Actual: Santa Cruz Warriors +8 (95-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Birmingham Squadron

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jackie Manuel * 48 1-5 0-0 4-6 5 1 0 0 2 6 5 -
Erik Daniels * 46 6-7 1-2 0-2 10 2 1 1 4 13 16 -
Ivan Harris * 39 6-17 0-3 1-2 8 0 1 1 2 13 4 -
Maureece Rice * 34 8-19 1-3 5-7 4 4 4 0 1 22 14 -
Darian Townes * 19 4-8 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 3 0 8 13 -
Cliff Clinkscales 30 5-12 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 1 10 4 -
Mike Cook 13 3-8 0-1 5-9 1 0 0 0 3 11 1 -
Jarvis Gunter 8 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -

Santa Cruz Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maurice Baker * 45 7-11 0-3 2-2 6 6 1 0 3 16 15 -
Richard Hendrix * 36 7-13 0-0 0-1 12 1 1 2 0 14 17 -
Renaldo Major * 35 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 2 4 -
Blake Ahearn * 33 5-15 3-8 12-13 1 7 0 0 2 25 16 -
Will Frisby * 30 7-15 0-0 2-2 8 2 0 1 2 16 10 -
Rod Benson 18 3-5 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 1 3 7 8 -
David Bell 18 3-9 3-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 9 2 -
Jawann McClellan 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
Carlos English 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 2 0 1 2 4 -
Brad Stricker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter