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2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Austin Spurs Iowa Wolves Spread Result
Elo 62.8% 37.2% -
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% -
Margin 53.6% 46.4% -0.8 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% -

Actual: Iowa Wolves -3 (99-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carldell Johnson * 43 5-12 2-5 2-2 4 7 4 0 3 14 14 -
Marcus Williams * 42 8-19 1-4 4-4 3 8 2 0 1 21 14 -
Charles Gaines * 39 5-10 0-0 2-2 11 4 2 0 1 12 18 -
Malik Hairston * 35 11-18 2-2 3-4 5 1 3 1 3 27 16 -
Andre Brown * 33 2-11 0-0 1-4 11 1 0 0 1 5 5 -
Mohammed Abukar 23 6-12 3-6 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 15 6 -
Ezra Williams 18 3-6 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 8 5 -
Brian Morrison 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 0 3 -

Iowa Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Curtis Stinson * 45 4-13 0-1 2-5 9 11 2 2 3 10 18 -
Othyus Jeffers * 38 11-18 0-1 2-4 7 4 4 0 4 24 17 -
Courtney Sims * 36 6-12 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 2 1 14 9 -
Cartier Martin * 35 6-13 1-6 1-2 6 3 0 0 1 14 9 -
Patrick Sanders * 25 3-6 2-4 1-2 3 1 1 0 6 9 2 -
Anthony Tolliver 31 4-8 0-3 2-3 8 2 0 0 2 10 10 -
Brian Evans 15 5-6 0-0 4-5 1 0 0 0 0 14 9 -
Marvin Phillips 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 5 -

* = starter