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2009-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Austin Spurs Salt Lake City Stars Spread Result
Elo 40.0% 60.0% -
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% -
Margin 40.4% 59.6% +2.1 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% -

Actual: Salt Lake City Stars +3 (97-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Hairston * 44 7-16 1-3 6-6 7 1 2 0 4 21 11 -
Marcus Williams * 42 6-15 0-3 2-2 10 3 4 0 5 14 11 -
Charles Gaines * 41 5-12 0-0 9-10 6 0 1 0 3 19 11 -
Carldell Johnson * 40 1-5 1-3 2-2 9 7 1 0 0 5 17 -
Andre Brown * 40 8-17 0-0 5-5 11 0 0 1 2 21 14 -
Ezra Williams 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
Mohammed Abukar 12 4-9 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 10 2 -
Brian Morrison 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Salt Lake City Stars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brent Petway * 42 4-9 0-0 0-2 8 2 0 6 2 8 13 -
Coby Karl * 39 7-8 1-1 3-3 4 3 1 0 3 18 15 -
Luke Jackson * 34 5-17 1-3 7-8 6 2 0 1 1 18 9 -
Lance Allred * 32 4-10 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 1 8 3 -
Jermareo Davidson * 25 5-13 0-0 2-4 12 1 2 2 0 12 16 -
Jamaal Tatum 34 4-13 0-1 13-17 4 10 4 0 4 21 22 -
Jason Ellis 20 2-8 0-0 3-4 11 1 2 1 0 7 14 -
Mildon Ambres 7 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 5 3 -
Lanny Smith 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter