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2009-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Santa Cruz Warriors South Bay Lakers Spread Result
Elo 46.0% 54.0% -
Bradley-Terry 56.1% 43.9% -
Margin 57.2% 42.8% -1.6 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% -

Actual: South Bay Lakers +5 (106-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Cruz Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maurice Baker * 38 6-16 1-5 0-0 7 4 1 0 0 13 9 -
Blake Ahearn * 35 6-15 1-5 10-10 2 2 1 0 2 23 11 -
Richard Hendrix * 34 8-12 0-0 2-2 11 1 1 3 1 18 21 -
Will Frisby * 34 7-13 0-0 3-6 9 3 0 2 1 17 17 -
Renaldo Major * 34 4-12 1-2 6-6 5 3 2 1 3 15 11 -
David Bell 23 5-14 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 11 0 -
Jawann McClellan 14 1-5 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Rod Benson 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 2 1 2 5 -
Brad Stricker 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Carlos English 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -

South Bay Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamaal Brown * 35 6-12 0-0 1-2 5 4 0 2 4 13 8 -
Dwayne Mitchell * 32 4-7 0-0 10-10 6 4 2 1 3 18 21 -
Darren Cooper * 28 1-6 0-3 4-4 0 6 0 0 2 6 4 -
Joe Crawford * 26 5-11 2-5 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 14 6 -
Anthony Coleman * 16 0-1 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 1 3 1 5 -
CJ Giles 29 8-11 0-0 2-3 10 0 0 2 0 18 19 -
Brandon Heath 28 5-13 4-6 0-0 4 6 2 0 3 14 10 -
Cheyne Gadson 19 5-7 1-1 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 11 11 -
Curtis Terry 15 3-5 2-3 1-3 1 1 0 0 0 9 6 -
Rashid Byrd 6 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 2 2 -

* = starter