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2008-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Austin Spurs Cleveland Charge Spread Result
Elo 45.0% 55.0% -
Bradley-Terry 55.5% 44.5% -
Margin 47.8% 52.2% +0.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.3% 49.7% -

Actual: Cleveland Charge -5 (114-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DerMarr Johnson * 45 4-10 1-5 5-6 7 2 1 1 2 14 13 -
Marcus Williams * 39 13-18 2-4 5-9 11 5 1 1 1 33 32 -
Cheyne Gadson * 35 12-16 1-2 2-3 2 8 2 0 4 27 19 -
Serge Angounou * 18 3-4 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 8 5 -
Ian Mahinmi * 10 0-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
Justin Bowen 36 8-12 0-1 2-4 6 2 1 0 3 18 12 -
Carldell Johnson 28 5-9 3-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 13 7 -
Curtis Stinson 13 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 2 0 0 0 3 3 -
Anthony Fuqua 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 1 2 -

Cleveland Charge

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Hodge * 45 10-18 0-1 6-10 10 7 1 0 3 26 23 -
Josh Gross * 38 15-18 1-1 6-9 10 1 1 0 1 37 30 -
Kevin Pittsnogle * 37 3-14 1-6 0-0 9 2 0 0 5 7 -1 -
Jamaal Thomas * 25 4-9 0-1 1-3 5 2 0 0 2 9 5 -
Daryl Dorsey * 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 2 1 1 -
Abdul Mills 32 8-14 0-1 1-1 4 5 3 0 0 17 15 -
Ramon Dyer 20 2-5 1-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 5 3 -
Darvin Ham 16 5-7 0-0 0-2 1 2 1 1 1 10 7 -
Dwight Brewington 9 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 2 1 -

* = starter