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2008-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Austin Spurs Santa Cruz Warriors Spread Result
Elo 48.8% 51.2% -
Bradley-Terry 53.4% 46.6% -
Margin 44.0% 56.0% +1.3 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% -

Actual: Santa Cruz Warriors -4 (107-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keith Langford * 42 8-19 2-4 8-12 9 5 2 1 1 26 23 -
Cheyne Gadson * 30 6-11 1-1 2-2 3 5 4 0 4 15 12 -
Ian Mahinmi * 28 2-9 0-0 2-5 6 1 0 4 3 6 5 -
DerMarr Johnson * 24 5-8 1-3 0-1 3 2 2 0 2 11 8 -
Anthony Fuqua * 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 2 7 -
Marcus Williams 30 8-16 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 2 1 18 5 -
Justin Reed 27 7-15 0-0 2-3 6 2 2 0 1 16 10 -
Carldell Johnson 17 4-4 2-2 3-5 5 1 0 0 0 13 15 -
Justin Bowen 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 4 5 -
Kenton Paulino 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Santa Cruz Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Blake Ahearn * 48 12-22 5-9 9-9 4 7 1 0 2 38 26 -
Dontell Jefferson * 34 5-17 1-6 3-4 3 4 2 1 3 14 4 -
Rod Benson * 34 4-9 0-0 2-4 16 1 1 1 1 10 19 -
Kevin Lyde * 27 3-7 0-0 0-1 4 2 0 1 3 6 3 -
Carlos Powell * 14 4-6 1-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 11 6 -
Perrin Johnson 36 3-9 1-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 7 5 -
Will Frisby 24 8-15 0-0 3-3 14 2 1 4 2 19 23 -
David Palmer 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Kibwe Trim 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter