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Model Predictions

Model Houston Comets Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 37.2% 62.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 50.4% 49.6% - โœ“
Margin 50.9% 49.1% - โœ“
Pythagorean 53.6% 46.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 71.4% 28.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 71.6% 28.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 51.0% 49.0% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -5 (69-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Houston Comets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Tina Thompson * 40 3-6 1-2 0-0 6 1 0 1 2 7 7 -
Cynthia Cooper * 37 10-23 2-6 7-8 2 5 3 0 4 29 12 -
Sheryl Swoopes * 36 3-9 2-4 0-2 4 6 2 0 2 8 9 -
Janeth Arcain * 36 6-8 0-0 4-5 3 1 3 0 1 16 14 -
Tiffani Johnson * 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
Tammy Jackson 21 6-8 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 12 8 -
Coquese Washington 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 0 2 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Mwadi Mabika * 40 7-13 3-8 2-2 5 1 3 2 1 19 16 -
Lisa Leslie * 40 2-13 0-1 8-8 14 5 0 2 4 12 16 -
DeLisha Milton-Jones * 36 5-8 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 2 10 10 -
Tamecka Dixon * 33 5-15 2-5 5-5 1 2 1 0 2 17 4 -
Ukari Figgs * 25 1-7 1-4 0-0 3 5 0 0 2 3 2 -
Allison Feaster 15 3-7 2-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 8 1 -
Nicky McCrimmon 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Clarisse Machanguana 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter