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Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 54.1% 45.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 68.8% 31.2% - โœ“
Margin 53.6% 46.4% - โœ“
Pythagorean 59.4% 40.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 72.4% 27.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 72.5% 27.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.9% 46.1% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Mystics -9 (63-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Teresa Weatherspoon * 37 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 9 3 0 4 4 8 -
Vickie Johnson * 35 7-11 1-3 5-6 8 1 2 0 1 20 19 -
Becky Hammon * 35 3-7 2-4 2-2 2 1 4 0 3 10 7 -
Tamika Whitmore * 32 6-10 0-0 3-3 6 0 0 1 4 15 8 -
Tari Phillips * 30 8-14 0-0 4-5 7 1 2 0 1 20 15 -
Sue Wicks 16 0-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 0 -1 -
Crystal Robinson 10 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Chamique Holdsclaw * 40 7-14 0-0 4-4 8 0 1 0 4 18 9 -
Nikki McCray * 40 7-13 1-5 0-0 4 11 1 0 7 15 11 -
Vicky Bullett * 38 8-15 4-6 2-2 8 1 2 5 1 22 22 -
Murriel Page * 37 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 4 1 -
Keisha Anderson * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 1 -
Markita Aldridge 22 1-3 0-1 0-2 0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -
Beth Cunningham 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Tausha Mills 4 1-2 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

* = starter