Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Rockers | Orlando Miracle | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | - |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | - |
In progress: Orlando Miracle +7 so far (62-55); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.