Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Utah Starzz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | - |
| Margin | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | - |
In progress: Utah Starzz +12 so far (89-77); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.