Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +33 (79-46). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quacy Barnes * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jamie Redd * | 25 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Sonja Henning * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Michelle Edwards * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Andrea Garner * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Charmin Smith | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Simone Edwards | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Katrina Hibbert | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Stacey Lovelace | 14 | 0-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Robin Threatt-Elliott | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruthie Bolton * | 20 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kedra Holland-Corn * | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tangela Smith * | 17 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - | - | |
| Latasha Byears | 19 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Linda Burgess | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Katy Steding | 19 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Lady Grooms | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Stacy Clinesmith | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cindy Blodgett | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter