Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm -8 (52-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 40 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tamecka Dixon * | 37 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Lisa Leslie * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 15 | - | - | |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 34 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ukari Figgs * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Clarisse Machanguana | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Allison Feaster | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| La'Keshia Frett | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonja Henning * | 41 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Michelle Edwards * | 36 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jamie Redd * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Quacy Barnes * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Andrea Garner * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Charmin Smith | 29 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Stacey Lovelace | 27 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Simone Edwards | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Robin Threatt-Elliott | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter