Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Orlando Miracle | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | - |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | - |
In progress: Orlando Miracle +8 so far (65-57); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.