Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -11 (63-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astou Ndiaye-Diatta * | 34 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dominique Canty * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Elena Tornikidou * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Wendy Palmer * | 26 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Anna DeForge * | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Claudia Neves | 18 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Edwina Brown | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olympia Scott | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Barbara Farris | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Joy Holmes | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monica Maxwell * | 36 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Rita Williams * | 36 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Gordana Grubin * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kara Wolters * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Alicia Thompson * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Danielle McCulley | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jurgita Streimikyte | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Stephanie White | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chantel Tremitiere | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter