Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Fire | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +8 (66-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Fire
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Witherspoon * | 39 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Vanessa Nygaard * | 39 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Sylvia Crawley * | 30 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Stacey Thomas * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Lynn Pride | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| DeMya Walker | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Michelle Marciniak | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Tara Williams | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Michele Van Gorp | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Redd * | 37 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Sonja Henning * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Quacy Barnes * | 29 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | - | |
| Andrea Garner * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Michelle Edwards * | 21 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Charmin Smith | 30 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Simone Edwards | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Robin Threatt-Elliott | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Stacey Lovelace | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
* = starter