Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Orlando Miracle | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | - |
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | - |
In progress: Orlando Miracle +29 so far (92-63); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.