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Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Miami Sol Spread Result
Elo 61.6% 38.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 76.0% 24.0% - โœ—
Margin 63.3% 36.7% - โœ—
Pythagorean 72.7% 27.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 88.0% 12.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 88.0% 12.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 65.8% 34.2% - โœ—

Actual: Miami Sol +16 (57-41). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Teresa Weatherspoon * 35 3-6 0-2 3-4 3 3 0 0 9 - -
Tari Phillips * 34 3-8 0-0 0-2 9 0 3 0 6 - -
Tamika Whitmore * 33 4-8 0-0 2-2 10 1 1 3 10 - -
Vickie Johnson * 31 2-9 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 1 5 - -
Becky Hammon * 25 2-8 0-3 1-1 4 0 1 0 5 - -
Crystal Robinson 27 3-10 0-4 0-0 1 4 0 1 6 - -
Sue Wicks 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

Miami Sol

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Sheri Sam * 33 7-18 1-6 4-6 7 2 1 0 19 - -
Kristen Rasmussen * 33 1-8 0-0 6-6 7 2 2 1 8 - -
Katrina Colleton * 32 1-8 0-0 4-4 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Marlies Askamp * 32 3-10 0-0 2-5 10 1 0 2 8 - -
Debbie Black * 29 2-5 0-0 2-4 3 2 3 0 6 - -
Kisha Ford 14 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 3 - -
Sharon Manning 12 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 1 2 - -
Milena Flores 10 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Jamie Cassidy 0 0-0 0-0 3-4 0 0 2 0 3 - -
Shantia Owens 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Umeki Webb 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter