Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Miracle | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | - |
| Margin | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | - |
In progress: New York Liberty +13 so far (70-57); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.