Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Starzz | Cleveland Rockers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | - |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | - |
In progress: Cleveland Rockers +3 so far (74-71); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.