Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Starzz | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | - |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | - |
In progress: Minnesota Lynx -10 so far (62-72); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.