Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -3 (81-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Lisa Leslie * | 30 | 10-21 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Tamecka Dixon * | 30 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Ukari Figgs * | 19 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Clarisse Machanguana | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Allison Feaster | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| La'Keshia Frett | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Canty * | 32 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Elena Tornikidou * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Astou Ndiaye-Diatta * | 30 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Wendy Palmer * | 29 | 4-17 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Anna DeForge * | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Edwina Brown | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Claudia Neves | 12 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Olympia Scott | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Barbara Farris | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Joy Holmes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter