Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +6 (66-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rita Williams * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Alicia Thompson * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Monica Maxwell * | 30 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kara Wolters * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Gordana Grubin * | 30 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Chantel Tremitiere | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jurgita Streimikyte | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Danielle McCulley | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Stephanie White | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Katryna Gaither | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonja Henning * | 35 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Andrea Garner * | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jamie Redd * | 29 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Quacy Barnes * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Michelle Edwards * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Robin Threatt-Elliott | 24 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Simone Edwards | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Charmin Smith | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kamila Vodichkova | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter