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Model Predictions

Model Miami Sol Portland Fire Spread Result
Elo 31.9% 68.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% - โœ“
Margin 34.2% 65.8% - โœ“
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 30.4% 69.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 30.4% 69.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.9% 67.1% - โœ“

Actual: Portland Fire +4 (54-50). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Miami Sol

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Sheri Sam * 38 9-26 2-10 3-5 6 2 3 0 23 - -
Kristen Rasmussen * 37 1-7 0-0 4-4 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Marlies Askamp * 32 1-3 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 2 3 - -
Debbie Black * 30 2-8 0-2 2-2 6 3 1 0 6 - -
Katrina Colleton * 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Kisha Ford 19 2-5 0-0 2-3 4 3 1 0 6 - -
Milena Flores 9 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jamie Cassidy 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Shantia Owens 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Portland Fire

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Sophia Witherspoon * 37 7-12 2-4 8-9 4 2 1 0 24 - -
Sylvia Crawley * 36 5-9 0-1 1-2 1 1 2 0 11 - -
Vanessa Nygaard * 31 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Stacey Thomas * 27 0-2 0-0 2-4 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Tully Bevilaqua * 24 1-2 1-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Michelle Marciniak 17 1-4 0-1 2-4 4 2 0 1 4 - -
DeMya Walker 11 1-1 0-0 4-4 2 1 1 0 6 - -
Lynn Pride 10 1-2 0-0 0-1 0 0 1 1 2 - -
Tara Williams 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter