Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +25 (81-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawn Staley * | 32 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Andrea Stinson * | 32 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Rhonda Mapp * | 27 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tracy Reid * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cass Bauer-Bilodeau * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tiffany Travis | 23 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Charlotte Smith | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Larecha Jones | 9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Summer Erb | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Angie Braziel | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| E.C. Hill | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vickie Johnson * | 31 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tari Phillips * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Teresa Weatherspoon * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Becky Hammon * | 24 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tamika Whitmore * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Crystal Robinson | 28 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Sue Wicks | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jessica Bibby | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Olga Firsova | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marina Ferragut | 5 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Shea Mahoney | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter