Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -7 (66-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| Lisa Leslie * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ukari Figgs * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 4-8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tamecka Dixon * | 18 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Allison Feaster | 19 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Vedrana Grgin Fonseca | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Clarisse Machanguana | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| La'Keshia Frett | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 39 | 7-19 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Keitha Dickerson * | 34 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Betty Lennox * | 32 | 8-22 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Maylana Martin * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kate Paye * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marla Brumfield | 28 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kristin Folkl | 27 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Grace Daley | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Shanele Stires | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter